Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has cut its revenue growth forecast for 2018 to 10% from the previously-estimated 10-15%, citing weaker-than-expected smartphone demand and growing uncertainty facing the cryptocurrency mining market.
TSMC forecast revenues in US dollars will register an about 10% increase in 2018. The pure-play foundry estimated previously a larger 10-15% growth. The downward revision was due to smartphone weakness and uncertainty in crypto mining demand, said company co-CEO CC Wei at an April 19 investors meeting.
TSMC's revenues in US dollars will likely grow by about 10% on year in the second quarter of 2018, Wei indicated. Demand for smartphones remains "soft," partially offset by strength in sales generated from the high performance computing (HPC) segment during the quarter, Wei said.
TSMC is reportedly a contract manufacturer of Apple, Huawei's chip arm HiSilicon Technology and MediaTek.
TSMC's revenues for first-quarter 2018, which grew 6.1% on year but fell 10.6% sequentially, came within the company's guidance given three months ago. Strong demand for HPC such as crypto mining and growth in demand for automotive and IoT applications mitigated the impact of a seasonal slowdown in smartphone demand during the quarter, Wei indicated.
However, Wei warned of a lack of sustainability in crypto mining demand. Bitmain Technologies and Canaan Creative are reportedly among TSMC's major clients engaged in the crypto mining field.
According to TSMC's guidance for the second quarter, revenues will fall 7-8% sequentially with gross margin slipping below 50%.
TSMC also revised its growth forecasts for global foundry and overall IC market outlook this year to 8% and 5%, respectively, compared to 9-10% and 5-7% estimated previously.
In addition, Wei claimed TSMC's 7nm process technology in terms of performance, power and area density as well as its schedule is leading the industry. The foundry expects sales generated from the node to account for over 20% in the fourth quarter of 2018 and 10% in all of the year.
Wei reiterated that TSMC will have more than 50 customer tape-outs with its 7nm process technology by the end of 2018 for applications including mobile devices, server CPU, network processors, gaming, GPU, FPGA, cryptocurrency, automotive and AI. Dubbed N7, the node is already in volume production, according to Wei.
As for TSMC's 10nm process technology, sales generated from the node grew to account for 19% of the foundry's total wafer sales in the first quarter of 2018. The proportion will slide to less than 10% in the fourth quarter, according to TSMC CFO Lora Ho.
Ho disclosed that TSMC's capex target for 2018 has been revised to between US$11.5 billion and US$12 billion from US$10.5-11 billion. About US$500 million more will be spent on expanding the foundry's mask-making capacity and about US$300 million will be for EUV tool purchases, said Ho.
Ho added TSMC's annual capex will be maintained at between US$10 billion and US$12 billion over the next few years, when the foundry expects to post revenue growth of 5-10% annually.
Also at the investors conference, TSMC co-CEO Mark Liu replied to an analyst's question about a recent US ban on sales of US-made chip components to China-based ZTE by saying that the impact should be minimal since TSMC has a "very wide" customer portfolio. Nevertheless, the consequence of the issue is still being under study, Liu added.
As for TSMC's Nanjing plant, the phase-one facility designed for 20,000 wafers monthly already kicked off production this month (April 2018), according to Wei. The new 12-inch plant has entered directly 16nm FinFET chip production to service mainly the foundry's China-based customers. |